Donald Trump's anticipated foreign policy toward Europe during his potential 2nd term could have significant and severe implications.
Recently, journalist Nicholas Vincour indicated that the long-standing close relationship between Europe and the United States may end soon, regardless of who occupies the White House. He said that Europeans should be less worried about the presidency and more focused on how the continent can navigate a perilous global landscape on its own. What was once included as a dismissive attitude towards the waning American commitment in Europe has shifted to a sobering reality. With Trump in power, this anxiety becomes intense, particularly regarding trade and defense matters.
During his 1st term, Trump initiated a series of tariffs and trade disputes with various nations, which includes the EU. If his campaign pledges turn out to be true, this pattern is likely to persist, with proposed tariffs of 10-20% on all imports, specifically targeting countries like Germany and significant corporations such as Mercedes-Benz.
In reply, the European Commission has been fortifying its position concerning trade, technology, artificial intelligence, and investment-related strategies aimed at countering Trump's aggressive policies. Preparations for a potential trade conflict are already in place, at least in terms of protecting the EU's financial interests.
The Commission is giving priority to increasing the EU's overall self-reliance in major technological sectors, including climate technology and essential raw materials. This approach is poised to spark disputes with the U.S, as well as reignite un-resolved tensions surrounding steel tariffs.
Trump's disdain for Europe is well-documented and is actually not entirely personal. The current Washington political landscape is lacking decision-makers who possess a natural affinity for, or personal ties to, Europe. Even during the administrations of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, there was a noticeable shift in U.S. foreign policy, drifting away from Europe and NATO and deciding to focus more on Asia.