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A second apparent attempt on former U.S. President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's life has injected a dramatic element into the unfolding election campaign. Unlike the first attempt in Pennsylvania in mid-July, where a bullet grazed Mr. Trump’s ear, this time a man with a rifle at a golf club where Mr. Trump was present was confronted and apprehended by the Secret Service. While these incidents might garner Mr.
Trump some sympathy votes on November 5, it remains uncertain whether they will significantly sway public opinion enough to influence the election outcome. Currently, the race between Mr. Trump and his Democratic opponent, Vice-President Kamala Harris, is extremely tight, with the latest national polls showing Ms. Harris ahead by just three percentage points at 49%. Analysts suggest that this margin is within the range of statistical error, making it premature to declare a definitive winner based on current trends.
Barring any unexpected events that could dramatically alter the race before Election Day, historical patterns and previous observations suggest that higher voter turnout may favor Democrats. For example, in the 2022 mid-term elections, despite Republicans' strong position following a drop in President Joe Biden's approval ratings, Democratic voter turnout surged after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, impacting Republican prospects.
Immigration reform has long been a contentious issue that has derailed many previous candidates' campaigns. Mr. Trump previously alienated voters with his "Muslim ban" and negative comments about immigrants from Mexico and Latin America.
It remains to be seen whether Ms. Harris will present a sensible and compassionate approach to border and asylum policies for undocumented workers, including a fair path to citizenship for those contributing positively to American society. At this point, there is a pressing need for bipartisan cooperation and policy-making.